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Rob Axtell has pioneered the application of
agent-based computation to the
social sciences in general and economics in particular. His 1996 book with
Joshua Epstein, "Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the
Bottom Up," (MIT Press) introduced the Sugarscape model. Since then his
research has appeared in "Science" and the "Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences, USA," as well as in disciplinary journals. He is
Senior
Fellow in the Economic Studies Program at the Brookings Institution in
Washington, D.C., and an External Faculty member of the Santa Fe
Institute.
He is currently working on a new book, "Artificial Economies of Adaptive
Agents: The Multi-Agent Systems Approach to Positive Economics."
Abstract for Rob Axtell's keynote:
Three gross empirical features of firms are used to argue that reigning
economic conceptions of the firm are wholly inadequate. First, the
extremely skew distribution of firm sizes in modern industrial
countries means simultaneously that (a) no 'representative' firm a la
Alfred Marshall exists, (b) industries cannot be understood in
isolation, and (c) extant theories of optimal firm size are either
empirically vacuous or false, as first argued by Herbert Simon. Second,
fluctuations in firm sizes--i.e., growth rate distributions--are
sufficiently 'heavy-tailed' that (a) conventional central limit
theorem-type arguments concerning log growth rates are not valid, and
(b) firm dynamics are intrinsically 'turbulent' suggesting that
agent-level fixed points (e.g., Nash equilibria) are irrelevant. Third,
and most obviously, firms are multi-agent systems, a feature abstracted
away in the neoclassical theory of the firm, and dealt with
unsatisfactorily in game theoretic framings of firm structure. By
contrast, a model in which heterogeneous, boundedly rational agents
interact locally out of equilibrium through social networks, yielding
temporary coalitions involving productive activities, closely
reproduces these gross empirical features of firms. Some analytical
progress in understanding this inherently dynamic model has been
achieved via multi-level methods. However, most of the results obtained
to date have been produced by agent-based computational means.
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